The Lakers' role players are so much better than the Spurs' that if Parker, Manu, or Duncan are off, they can't win. Guys like walton, Farmar, Fisher, Odom, and Turiaf are younger, more athletic and hungrier than the Spurs supporting cast. Finley and Barry can still hit a few shots, and Bowen still does a decent job on Kobe, but Horry is done, Vaughn has always been crap, Oberto and Thomas can't guard Odom, Gasol, or Radmonovic, and Damon Stoudamire might as well not come to the gym.
It was nice to get a big contribution from Brent Barry though, I think he is finally healthy after that calf injury, and is probably the Spurs fourth best offensive player. Just like the New Orleans series, San Antonio need to win at home and steal one game in LA. It doesn't matter if that is game 5 or game 7.
In the other series, I think Detroit will win tonight to even the series at 2 games a piece. I still don't trust these Celtics on the road.
I think both conference finals will go seven games, and game 7 is a crapshoot, you never know what is going to happen.